CIPHER: A Decoupled Exploration-Selection Framework for Test-Time Scaling of Data Science Agents

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Original abstract

Data science tasks span from closed-ended information extraction to open-ended analysis, presenting significant challenges for automation. Recent AI agents powered by language models show promise for handling such complex tasks. However, existing agents typically rely on a single initial state that conditions the entire agent's execution, making them vulnerable to cascading errors initiated by a suboptimal initial state. To mitigate this, we present CIPHER, an automated data science agent that leverages test-time scaling through the generation and selection of multiple initial states for concurrent execution. Unlike existing works on test-time scaling of AI agents, CIPHER explicitly decouples the generation of candidate initial states from their strategic selection for parallel execution. Through extensive evaluation on two benchmarks (closed-form and open-form tasks), we demonstrate that CIPHER exceeds state-of-the-art performance in matched-model comparisons, and remains competitive against larger-model baselines despite relying on a substantially smaller base LM. Our empirical study characterizes the design space of the Decoupled Exploration-Selection (DES) framework: we quantify how generation strategy, selection strategy, and aggregator model capacity contribute to overall performance, and derive actionable design recommendations for practitioners.

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• Official / arXiv page
• PDF from original source

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